IT as an Enabler for Translating Quality Research to Optimized Healthcare Delivery
Cognitive Systems
• Leverage traditional data sources
• Follow pre-defined rules (programs)
• Provide the same output to all users
• Are taught, not programmed.
• Learn and improve based on experience
• Interpret sensory and non-traditional data
• Relate to each of us as individuals
• Allow us to expand and scale our own thinking
IT as an Enabler for Translating Quality Research to Optimized Healthcare Delivery Luu Danh Anh Vu (Vu Luu) Country Manager for Technology Solutions IBM Vietnam (vuluu@vn.ibm.com) 2010 2020 Sensors & Devices Natural Language Enterprise Data Medical Images Images/ Multimedia You are here 44 zettabytes Growing data volume and complexity demands a new approach. Tabulating Systems Era 1900 – 1940s Programmable Systems Era 1950s – Present Cognitive Computing Era 2011 – 3 Cognitive systems expand the problems we can address Cognitive Systems • Leverage traditional data sources • Follow pre-defined rules (programs) • Provide the same output to all users • Are taught, not programmed. • Learn and improve based on experience • Interpret sensory and non-traditional data • Relate to each of us as individuals • Allow us to expand and scale our own thinking Programmatic Systems Generation and Delivery of Evidence and Insights Published Knowledge Knowledge-Driven Method Data-Driven Method Observational Data • Longitudinal records • Claims, Rx, Labs • Patient reported data • Scientific papers • Books • Guidelines Closing the translational knowledge gap Personalized Insights from institutional data From population averages To insights for individual patient! Learns Decisions made by leading experts feed the engine. Watson learns & improves over time. Understands Watson can read & understand documents & data – both structured & unstructured – at a massive scale. Reasons Watson searches & analyzes data, returning evidence-based recommendations. WATSON: A COGNITIVE SYSTEM Why Now? The Healthcare Disruption $47 trillion Estimated global economic impact of chronic disease by 20303 75%+ Percentage of patients expected to use digital health services in the future5 24 months Frequency at which healthcare data doubles1 150+ exabytes Amount of healthcare data today2 Sources: McKinsey&Company, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention © 2016 International Business Machines Corporation 7 6 Terabytes Per lifetime Volume, Variety, Velocity, Veracity 60% Exogenous Factors 1100 Terabytes Generated per lifetime 0.4 Terabytes Per lifetime 30% Genomics Factors 10% Clinical Factors A vast amount of untapped data could have a great impact on our health — yet it exists outside medical systems Rethinking Oncology By 2025, overall demand for medical oncology services will grow 42%. The number of oncologists will likely grow by only 28%. 9 © 2016 International Business Machines Corporation 10 WATSON ONCOLOGY HELPS MEDICAL ONCOLOGISTS AND THEIR CARE TEAMS ADDRESS THESE CHALLENGES 61 y/o woman s/p mastectomy is here to discuss treatment options for a recently diagnosed 4.2 cm grade 2 infiltrating ductal carcinoma Prioritized Treatment Options + Evidence Profile Patient Case • Inclusion / exclusion criteria • Co morbidities • Contraindications • FDA risk factors • MSK preferred treatments • Other guidelines • Published literature - studies, reports, opinions from Text Books, Journals, Manuals, etc. Evidence Watson Oncology Key Case Attributes Candidate Treatment Options Supportin g Evidence Extract key attributes from a patient’s case 1 Use those attributes to find candidate treatment options as determined by consulting NCCN Guidelines 2 Use Watson’s analytic algorithms to prioritize treatment options based on best evidence. 4 Guidelines Search a corpus of evidence data to find supporting evidence for each option 3 Medications Symptoms Diseases Modifiers Natural Language Processing We use Natural Language Processing and UMLS (Unified Medical Language System) CUIs (Concept Unique IDs) to recognize medical concepts Rethinking Genomic Medicine Next-generation sequencing (NGS) data streams range between 1 and 10 terabytes. 800 Billion base pairs of DNA to analyze one brain tumor 13 Pubmed Abstracts (23M) Drugbank.ca Clinicaltrials.gov Geneontology.org COSMIC from Sanger Uniprot.org Ensembl.org NCI PID Clinvar Genenames.org (HUGO) Drugs@FDA dbNSNP TCGA NCI Thesaurus NCI Drug Info NCI Drug Dictionary Elsevier Gold Standards Select whole text journal articles WGA Content Molecular Profile Analysis Pathway Analysis Drug Analysis Watson Genomics Analytics 16 partners Rethinking Clinical Trial Matching 30% of sites for clinical trials fail in enrolling even a single patient. Approximately 3% of adult cancer patients participate in clinical trials. 14 16 IBM Watson Health // ©2015 International Business Machines Corporation #Watson Health Watson Health - Vision WATSON DISCOVERY ADVISOR Watson solution: Making linkages that unlock insights Which accelerate breakthroughs in • Disease understanding • Drug discovery • Toxicity assessment (early safety) • Trial design • Comparative effectiveness • Pharmacovigilance (drug safety) 16M+ patents 23M+ abstracts 100+ journals 50+ books 11,000+ drugs 20,000+ genes 12M+ chemical structures Watson Corpus Over 1TB of data Over 40m documents Over 100m entities and relationships Available External Data Chemical database Public genomics Medical textbooks Medline Other journals FDA drugs/labels Patents 17 © 2014 International Business Machines Corporation Business challenge: • Researchers can’t innovate fast enough to create truly breakthrough therapies • They struggle to anticipate the safety profile of new treatments and design trials that demonstrate efficacy and safety WATSON DISCOVERY ADVISOR: ACCELERATING BREAKTHROUGH INSIGHTS ACROSS LIFE SCIENCE FUNCTIONS • What new ways could we target this disease pathway? Let’s look at all the genes identified in every disease that are activated by this protein Lead & Drug Discovery • How can we quickly identify if this compound has a toxicity issue? Signals from internal toxicology reports and published studies suggest this compound may cause serious AEs Safety & Toxicity Assessment • Are there reasons for the early safety signals that we can quickly identify? AE reports suggest that our drug is often being taken with dairy foods when this side effect is being reported Pharmacovigilance • Does this drug have an effect on the pathway of another disease? There are several diseases where the same receptors that this compound binds to exist Drug Repurposing • What populations are likely to benefit most from this intervention? Looking at all known studies of similar compounds, this is how this treatment might perform in these populations Comparative Effectiveness / Clinical Trial Design • What do early studies of competitors reveal about their efficacy and safety? Animal models revealed early effectiveness and faster onset, differentiating from current products Competitive Intelligence Reducing CHF readmission to improve care Seton Healthcare strives to reduce the occurrence of high cost Congestive Heart Failure (CHF) readmissions by proactively identifying patients likely to be readmitted on an emergency basis. How? Utilizing natural language processing to extract key elements from unstructured History and Physical, Discharge Summaries, Echocardiogram Reports, and Consult Notes Featured on 1. Jugular Venous Distention (JVD ↑) Indicator 2. Paid by Medicaid Indicator 3. Immunity Disorder Disease Indicator 4. Cardiac Rehab Admit Diagnosis with CHF Indicator 5. Lack of Emotional Support Indicator 6. Self COPD Moderate Limit Health History Indicator 7. With Genitourinary System and Endocrine Disorders 8. Heart Failure History 9. High BNP Indicator 10. Low Hemoglobin Indicator 11. Low Sodium Level Indicator 12. Assisted Living 13. High Cholesterol History 21 Top predictors of Readmission Phase 1 Stream computing provides real time analytical insights and notifications to nurses for critical trends - Physiologic monitor data - Laboratory results - Radiology results - Patient in ICU EMR will be pulled in using natural language processing and content analytics Watson will be able to identify risks along with streaming data to predict extended set of conditions Phase 2 Treatment option based on ingested intensive care corpus and best practice guidelines Treatment decision support and exposure of data to research and look at patient similarities Phase 3 The Mt Elizabeth Novena ICU real time cognitive solution can proactively alert and prevent life threatening complications © 2016 International Business Machines Corporation 24 https://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/48764.wss Developing an image-guided informatic system to provide holistic summaries of patient conditions and evidence-based clinical decision support to radiologists. The system • integrates clinical and imaging data • filters out irrelevant images using multimodal analytics • highlights disease depicting regions (anomalies) • flags coincidental diagnosis • offers clinical decision support MEDICAL SIEVE - RESEARCH
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